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Red289
559650.7
610103.9
1114110.6
Blue197
85475.9
270884.9
425250.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682170100300400500289197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
110.60.4
104.8105.1
Auto23.6
Teleop44.5
End42.5
red by 25.6
2708
#11
84.90.4
85.785.3
Auto8.0
Teleop27.9
End49.1
Second
610
#1
103.90.4
98.198.4
Auto11.9
Teleop51.9
End40.1
red by 28.0
854
#29
75.90.4
76.676.3
Auto10.9
Teleop35.4
End29.6
Third
5596
#28
50.70.4
44.945.2
Auto11.1
Teleop26.2
End13.4
red by 0.5
4252
#20
50.10.4
50.950.5
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End20.7