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Red344
559650.7
610103.9
1114110.6
Blue215
132576.2
503690.6
571966.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682510100200300400500600700344215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
110.62.0
106.2108.2
Auto23.6
Teleop44.5
End42.5
red by 20.0
90.60.6
93.092.4
Auto13.9
Teleop44.3
End32.3
Second
610
#1
103.92.0
99.5101.5
Auto11.9
Teleop51.9
End40.1
red by 27.7
1325
#16
76.20.6
78.778.1
Auto13.8
Teleop40.0
End22.4
Third
5596
#28
50.72.0
46.348.3
Auto11.1
Teleop26.2
End13.4
blue by 15.7
5719
#35
66.40.6
68.868.3
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End33.8