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Red316
559650.7
610103.9
1114110.6
Blue195
85475.9
270884.9
425250.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2702160100300400500316195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
110.61.0
105.1106.2
Auto23.6
Teleop44.5
End42.5
red by 25.6
2708
#11
84.90.4
85.384.9
Auto8.0
Teleop27.9
End49.1
Second
610
#1
103.91.0
98.499.5
Auto11.9
Teleop51.9
End40.1
red by 28.0
854
#29
75.90.4
76.375.9
Auto10.9
Teleop35.4
End29.6
Third
5596
#28
50.71.0
45.246.3
Auto11.1
Teleop26.2
End13.4
red by 0.5
4252
#20
50.10.4
50.550.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.4
End20.7