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Red315
559650.7
610103.9
1114110.6
Blue155
132576.2
503690.6
571966.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276247100200300400500315155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
110.60.8
108.2109.0
Auto23.6
Teleop44.5
End42.5
red by 20.0
90.61.9
92.490.6
Auto13.9
Teleop44.3
End32.3
Second
610
#1
103.90.8
101.5102.3
Auto11.9
Teleop51.9
End40.1
red by 27.7
1325
#16
76.21.9
78.176.2
Auto13.8
Teleop40.0
End22.4
Third
5596
#28
50.70.8
48.349.1
Auto11.1
Teleop26.2
End13.4
blue by 15.7
5719
#35
66.41.9
68.366.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End33.8