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Red257
571966.4
503690.6
132576.2
Blue245
400199.0
154770.1
90762.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251249150200300350257245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.60.4
92.192.5
Auto13.9
Teleop44.3
End32.3
blue by 8.4
99.00.2
100.9101.0
Auto8.7
Teleop37.8
End52.6
Second
1325
#16
76.20.4
77.878.2
Auto13.8
Teleop40.0
End22.4
red by 6.1
70.10.2
72.072.2
Auto6.5
Teleop31.0
End32.6
Third
5719
#35
66.40.4
68.068.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End33.8
red by 4.3
907
#24
62.10.2
64.064.2
Auto4.0
Teleop30.9
End27.2