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Red309
637862.1
2609121.0
502491.4
Blue302
124196.3
188107.7
356032.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301234100200400500600309302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.00.7
121.6122.4
Auto16.8
Teleop46.2
End58.0
red by 13.3
188
#3
107.71.0
105.8106.8
Auto14.6
Teleop50.8
End42.3
Second
91.40.7
92.192.8
Auto10.0
Teleop43.6
End37.9
blue by 4.9
1241
#12
96.31.0
94.495.4
Auto8.4
Teleop50.2
End37.7
Third
6378
#14
62.10.7
62.863.5
Auto8.0
Teleop37.2
End16.9
red by 29.5
3560
#34
32.61.0
30.731.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End7.3