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Red318
637862.1
2609121.0
502491.4
Blue255
270676.8
293580.5
451978.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295243100200400500318255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.00.5
120.3120.8
Auto16.8
Teleop46.2
End58.0
red by 40.5
80.50.4
81.181.4
Auto5.8
Teleop37.1
End37.6
Second
91.40.5
90.891.2
Auto10.0
Teleop43.6
End37.9
red by 12.7
4519
#22
78.70.4
79.379.6
Auto13.6
Teleop33.4
End31.6
Third
6378
#14
62.10.5
61.562.0
Auto8.0
Teleop37.2
End16.9
blue by 14.7
2706
#18
76.80.4
77.477.8
Auto2.5
Teleop34.9
End39.3