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Red312
637862.1
2609121.0
502491.4
Blue195
270676.8
293580.5
451978.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296244100200400500312195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.00.8
120.8121.6
Auto16.8
Teleop46.2
End58.0
red by 40.5
80.51.0
81.480.5
Auto5.8
Teleop37.1
End37.6
Second
91.40.8
91.292.1
Auto10.0
Teleop43.6
End37.9
red by 12.7
4519
#22
78.71.0
79.678.7
Auto13.6
Teleop33.4
End31.6
Third
6378
#14
62.10.8
62.062.8
Auto8.0
Teleop37.2
End16.9
blue by 14.7
2706
#18
76.81.0
77.876.8
Auto2.5
Teleop34.9
End39.3