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Red255
473242.0
107581.5
540698.4
Blue255
542871.0
656458.0
509255.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2401830100300400500600700255255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#14
98.40.8
97.698.4
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End36.1
red by 27.4
5428
#11
71.00.5
69.870.3
Auto9.2
Teleop33.5
End28.3
Second
81.50.8
80.781.5
Auto8.6
Teleop31.4
End41.5
red by 23.5
6564
#10
58.00.5
56.857.4
Auto10.3
Teleop34.9
End12.9
Third
4732
#17
42.00.8
41.342.0
Auto4.5
Teleop31.5
End6.0
blue by 13.5
5092
#20
55.60.5
54.354.9
Auto8.7
Teleop28.7
End18.1