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Red330
648149.7
2056125.2
1114121.8
Blue308
467896.3
3683107.1
481468.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327281150200250300350400450500330308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.20.4
124.3124.7
Auto16.7
Teleop62.3
End46.2
red by 18.1
107.10.8
107.3108.1
Auto16.2
Teleop53.4
End37.6
Second
121.80.4
120.9121.2
Auto26.1
Teleop49.7
End46.1
red by 25.5
96.30.8
96.597.3
Auto16.0
Teleop42.0
End38.4
Third
6481
#18
49.70.4
48.849.1
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End15.6
blue by 18.6
4814
#23
68.30.8
68.569.3
Auto6.3
Teleop38.0
End24.0