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Red290
648149.7
2056125.2
1114121.8
Blue334
467896.3
3683107.1
481468.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328284100200400500290334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.20.7
124.7124.0
Auto16.7
Teleop62.3
End46.2
red by 18.1
107.11.3
108.1109.4
Auto16.2
Teleop53.4
End37.6
Second
121.80.7
121.2120.6
Auto26.1
Teleop49.7
End46.1
red by 25.5
96.31.3
97.398.6
Auto16.0
Teleop42.0
End38.4
Third
6481
#18
49.70.7
49.148.4
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End15.6
blue by 18.6
4814
#23
68.31.3
69.370.6
Auto6.3
Teleop38.0
End24.0