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Red398
648149.7
2056125.2
1114121.8
Blue175
467896.3
3683107.1
481468.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325289150200250350400450500398175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.21.2
124.0125.2
Auto16.7
Teleop62.3
End46.2
red by 18.1
107.12.3
109.4107.1
Auto16.2
Teleop53.4
End37.6
Second
121.81.2
120.6121.8
Auto26.1
Teleop49.7
End46.1
red by 25.5
96.32.3
98.696.3
Auto16.0
Teleop42.0
End38.4
Third
6481
#18
49.71.2
48.449.7
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End15.6
blue by 18.6
4814
#23
68.32.3
70.668.3
Auto6.3
Teleop38.0
End24.0