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Red281
490348.1
591293.4
4525103.3
Blue215
568969.0
646167.4
494062.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269199100300400281215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.30.2
103.6103.8
Auto15.4
Teleop53.0
End34.9
red by 34.3
5689
#16
69.00.4
68.669.0
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End29.8
Second
93.40.2
93.793.9
Auto8.4
Teleop36.5
End48.6
red by 26.0
6461
#11
67.40.4
67.067.4
Auto8.9
Teleop26.6
End31.8
Third
4903
#27
48.10.2
48.448.7
Auto8.9
Teleop27.6
End11.6
blue by 14.6
4940
#29
62.80.4
62.462.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End29.6