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Red256
490348.1
591293.4
4525103.3
Blue205
568969.0
646167.4
494062.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268198100300400256205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.30.2
103.3103.6
Auto15.4
Teleop53.0
End34.9
red by 34.3
5689
#16
69.00.2
68.568.6
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End29.8
Second
93.40.2
93.493.7
Auto8.4
Teleop36.5
End48.6
red by 26.0
6461
#11
67.40.2
66.867.0
Auto8.9
Teleop26.6
End31.8
Third
4903
#27
48.10.2
48.248.4
Auto8.9
Teleop27.6
End11.6
blue by 14.6
4940
#29
62.80.2
62.262.4
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End29.6