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Red165
490348.1
591293.4
4525103.3
Blue296
467896.3
3683107.1
481468.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260290100150200350400450165296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.31.9
105.2103.3
Auto15.4
Teleop53.0
End34.9
blue by 3.8
107.10.4
106.9107.3
Auto16.2
Teleop53.4
End37.6
Second
93.41.9
95.393.4
Auto8.4
Teleop36.5
End48.6
blue by 2.9
96.30.4
96.196.5
Auto16.0
Teleop42.0
End38.4
Third
4903
#27
48.11.9
50.048.1
Auto8.9
Teleop27.6
End11.6
blue by 20.2
4814
#23
68.30.4
68.168.5
Auto6.3
Teleop38.0
End24.0