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Red315
135954.3
3024101.5
2471101.4
Blue255
597582.2
313162.0
237483.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692430200400600800315255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.51.3
99.7101.0
Auto11.9
Teleop46.7
End43.0
red by 17.8
2374
#22
83.70.5
85.786.2
Auto9.5
Teleop50.8
End23.4
Second
101.41.3
99.6100.9
Auto8.6
Teleop48.3
End44.6
red by 19.2
5975
#13
82.20.5
84.284.7
Auto9.3
Teleop40.5
End32.5
Third
1359
#27
54.31.3
52.453.7
Auto5.9
Teleop31.4
End16.9
blue by 7.7
3131
#10
62.00.5
63.964.4
Auto3.3
Teleop32.9
End25.8