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Red251
135954.3
3024101.5
2471101.4
Blue255
597582.2
313162.0
237483.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742440100200400500600700800251255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.1
101.0100.9
Auto11.9
Teleop46.7
End43.0
red by 17.8
2374
#22
83.70.1
86.286.0
Auto9.5
Teleop50.8
End23.4
Second
101.40.1
100.9100.8
Auto8.6
Teleop48.3
End44.6
red by 19.2
5975
#13
82.20.1
84.784.6
Auto9.3
Teleop40.5
End32.5
Third
1359
#27
54.30.1
53.753.6
Auto5.9
Teleop31.4
End16.9
blue by 7.7
3131
#10
62.00.1
64.464.3
Auto3.3
Teleop32.9
End25.8