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Red262
135954.3
3024101.5
2471101.4
Blue210
291589.0
241157.3
289868.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25722104006008001,000262210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.50.5
95.596.0
Auto11.9
Teleop46.7
End43.0
red by 12.5
2915
#12
89.00.1
89.189.0
Auto12.0
Teleop35.7
End41.3
Second
101.40.5
95.495.9
Auto8.6
Teleop48.3
End44.6
red by 33.3
2898
#23
68.10.1
68.268.1
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End30.2
Third
1359
#27
54.30.5
48.248.7
Auto5.9
Teleop31.4
End16.9
blue by 3.1
57.30.1
57.457.3
Auto3.6
Teleop29.5
End24.2