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Red190
469270.2
597088.4
237475.0
Blue205
200246.6
3674107.3
411068.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1662170100300400190205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5970
#12
88.40.0
66.066.1
Auto8.2
Teleop36.8
End43.4
blue by 18.9
107.30.4
93.794.1
Auto15.0
Teleop45.9
End46.5
Second
2374
#17
75.00.0
53.553.6
Auto9.5
Teleop47.0
End18.6
red by 6.5
68.50.4
61.561.9
Auto7.2
Teleop34.5
End26.8
Third
4692
#30
70.20.0
45.145.1
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End36.1
red by 23.6
2002
#31
46.60.7
43.744.3
Auto4.7
Teleop27.9
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed