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Red251
252151.0
4488109.7
644586.4
Blue210
508581.7
405763.4
157132.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243154050100200300350400251210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.70.2
99.198.9
Auto20.3
Teleop48.5
End41.0
red by 28.0
5085
#23
81.73.4
70.473.9
Auto12.9
Teleop36.7
End32.1
Second
6445
#14
86.40.2
68.568.3
Auto7.6
Teleop25.4
End53.4
red by 23.0
4057
#22
63.43.4
51.254.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.8
End28.9
Third
2521
#32
51.00.2
51.251.0
Auto11.4
Teleop34.6
End5.0
red by 18.8
1571
#35
32.25.7
36.742.4
Auto6.0
Teleop16.4
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed