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Red259
56840.6
371183.3
448897.8
Blue195
95772.4
508570.9
634383.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2312210100300400500259195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#10
97.80.9
96.497.3
Auto14.2
Teleop39.7
End43.9
red by 14.5
6343
#18
83.20.4
78.077.7
Auto6.3
Teleop36.7
End40.3
Second
83.30.9
81.982.8
Auto3.5
Teleop38.3
End41.4
red by 10.8
957
#12
72.40.4
67.266.9
Auto4.3
Teleop34.2
End33.9
Third
568
#27
40.60.9
39.240.1
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End7.0
blue by 30.4
70.90.4
65.765.4
Auto9.7
Teleop29.7
End31.5