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Red293
56840.6
371183.3
448897.8
Blue305
95772.4
508570.9
634383.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234219100150200250300350400293305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#10
97.80.5
97.397.8
Auto14.2
Teleop39.7
End43.9
red by 14.5
6343
#18
83.22.1
77.779.8
Auto6.3
Teleop36.7
End40.3
Second
83.30.5
82.883.3
Auto3.5
Teleop38.3
End41.4
red by 10.8
957
#12
72.42.1
66.969.0
Auto4.3
Teleop34.2
End33.9
Third
568
#27
40.60.5
40.140.6
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End7.0
blue by 30.4
70.92.1
65.467.5
Auto9.7
Teleop29.7
End31.5