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Red219
56840.6
371183.3
448897.8
Blue255
95772.4
508570.9
634383.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235227100200300400500219255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#10
97.80.1
97.897.8
Auto14.2
Teleop39.7
End43.9
red by 14.5
6343
#18
83.20.9
79.880.7
Auto6.3
Teleop36.7
End40.3
Second
83.30.1
83.383.3
Auto3.5
Teleop38.3
End41.4
red by 10.8
957
#12
72.40.9
69.069.9
Auto4.3
Teleop34.2
End33.9
Third
568
#27
40.60.1
40.640.6
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End7.0
blue by 30.4
70.90.9
67.568.4
Auto9.7
Teleop29.7
End31.5