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Red260
252150.5
644568.9
142575.9
Blue295
95579.2
367485.4
154074.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193238100300400500260295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#13
75.91.6
73.875.4
Auto4.7
Teleop34.5
End36.7
blue by 9.5
85.40.0
78.878.8
Auto9.8
Teleop39.3
End36.3
Second
68.91.6
66.968.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.1
End42.9
blue by 10.3
955
#19
79.20.0
72.672.6
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End44.5
Third
2521
#32
50.51.6
48.550.0
Auto7.0
Teleop29.0
End14.5
blue by 24.4
1540
#21
74.90.0
68.368.3
Auto11.1
Teleop31.0
End32.8