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Red325
395471.7
2252112.0
35998.8
Blue255
349281.6
402879.2
499192.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300261100150200350400450500325255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.01.0
111.0112.0
Auto16.4
Teleop47.9
End47.7
red by 19.5
4991
#14
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto8.2
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Second
359
#4
98.81.0
97.898.8
Auto9.4
Teleop48.6
End40.8
red by 17.2
3492
#10
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End34.5
Third
3954
#36
71.71.1
70.671.7
Auto6.1
Teleop36.4
End29.2
blue by 7.5
79.20.0
79.179.2
Auto12.5
Teleop42.5
End24.1