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Red325
395471.7
2252112.0
35998.8
Blue281
349281.6
402879.2
499192.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296262100150200350400450325281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.01.1
109.9111.0
Auto16.4
Teleop47.9
End47.7
red by 19.5
4991
#14
92.50.1
92.492.5
Auto8.2
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Second
359
#4
98.81.1
96.797.8
Auto9.4
Teleop48.6
End40.8
red by 17.2
3492
#10
81.60.1
81.581.6
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End34.5
Third
3954
#36
71.71.2
69.370.6
Auto6.1
Teleop36.4
End29.2
blue by 7.5
79.20.1
79.079.1
Auto12.5
Teleop42.5
End24.1