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Red255
264178.6
351174.6
4050107.8
Blue305
349281.6
402879.2
499192.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802460100200400500255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#13
107.80.2
107.9107.8
Auto11.5
Teleop49.0
End47.2
red by 15.3
4991
#14
92.51.6
87.789.3
Auto8.2
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Second
2641
#27
78.60.1
78.778.6
Auto7.1
Teleop37.9
End33.5
blue by 3.0
3492
#10
81.61.6
76.878.5
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End34.5
Third
74.60.2
74.874.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End37.7
blue by 4.5
79.21.8
73.875.7
Auto12.5
Teleop42.5
End24.1