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Red256
264178.6
351174.6
4050107.8
Blue305
349281.6
402879.2
499192.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812450100200400500600256305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#13
107.80.1
108.1107.9
Auto11.5
Teleop49.0
End47.2
red by 15.3
4991
#14
92.50.4
87.287.7
Auto8.2
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Second
2641
#27
78.60.1
78.978.7
Auto7.1
Teleop37.9
End33.5
blue by 3.0
3492
#10
81.60.4
76.476.8
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End34.5
Third
74.60.1
74.974.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End37.7
blue by 4.5
79.20.5
73.473.8
Auto12.5
Teleop42.5
End24.1