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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red258
29163.5
402782.1
21794.2
Blue285
395577.3
350478.6
144105.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472710100200300400500258285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
94.20.5
93.6→94.1
Auto8.0
Teleop47.8
End38.3
blue by 11.2
144
#19
105.30.7
103.2→103.9
Auto12.7
Teleop40.8
End51.8
Second
4027
#2
82.10.5
81.5→82.0
Auto12.2
Teleop42.3
End27.6
red by 3.5
3504
#9
78.60.8
76.3→77.0
Auto3.5
Teleop45.4
End29.8
Third
291
#34
63.50.5
62.7→63.3
Auto9.9
Teleop37.3
End16.3
blue by 13.8
3955
#22
77.30.8
74.7→75.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.8
End43.3