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Red0
670667.2
205389.6
326084.8
Blue305
30289.4
15684.6
265673.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24925501002003004005000305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#6DQ
89.61.7
87.889.6
Auto5.7
Teleop39.3
End44.6
red by 0.1
302
#21
89.41.6
87.288.7
Auto6.5
Teleop46.8
End36.2
Second
3260
#15DQ
84.81.5
83.284.8
Auto12.0
Teleop50.5
End22.3
red by 0.2
156
#7
84.61.6
82.383.9
Auto4.5
Teleop34.0
End46.0
Third
6706
#28DQ
67.21.5
65.667.2
Auto7.9
Teleop29.6
End29.7
blue by 6.5
2656
#16
73.71.7
71.273.0
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End32.3