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Red232
454760.0
402782.1
21794.2
Blue309
349281.6
402879.2
499192.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472640100200300400500232309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
94.20.1
94.394.2
Auto8.0
Teleop47.8
End38.3
red by 1.7
4991
#14
92.51.5
90.992.4
Auto8.2
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Second
82.10.1
82.282.1
Auto12.2
Teleop42.3
End27.6
red by 0.4
3492
#10
81.61.5
80.081.5
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End34.5
Third
4547
#12
60.00.1
60.160.0
Auto5.6
Teleop27.3
End27.0
blue by 19.2
79.21.6
77.479.0
Auto12.5
Teleop42.5
End24.1