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Red273
395471.7
2252112.0
35998.8
Blue255
30289.4
15684.6
265673.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297255100200400500273255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.00.1
110.0109.9
Auto16.4
Teleop47.9
End47.7
red by 22.6
302
#21
89.40.2
89.289.4
Auto6.5
Teleop46.8
End36.2
Second
359
#4
98.80.1
96.896.7
Auto9.4
Teleop48.6
End40.8
red by 14.2
156
#7
84.60.2
84.484.6
Auto4.5
Teleop34.0
End46.0
Third
3954
#36
71.70.1
69.469.3
Auto6.1
Teleop36.4
End29.2
blue by 2.0
2656
#16
73.70.2
73.573.7
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End32.3