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Red302
395471.7
2252112.0
35998.8
Blue145
605488.4
170861.8
395763.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303219100400500302145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.00.0
109.9110.0
Auto16.4
Teleop47.9
End47.7
red by 23.6
6054
#17
88.41.8
90.288.4
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End47.3
Second
359
#4
98.80.0
96.896.8
Auto9.4
Teleop48.6
End40.8
red by 35.0
3957
#25
63.91.8
65.763.9
Auto6.2
Teleop39.8
End17.9
Third
3954
#36
71.70.0
69.469.4
Auto6.1
Teleop36.4
End29.2
red by 9.9
1708
#11
61.81.7
63.561.8
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End25.0