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Red256
670667.2
205389.6
326084.8
Blue250
30289.4
15684.6
265673.7
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249248180200220240260280300320256250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.60.5
86.887.4
Auto5.7
Teleop39.3
End44.6
red by 0.1
302
#21
89.40.2
85.986.1
Auto6.5
Teleop46.8
End36.2
Second
3260
#15
84.80.5
82.382.8
Auto12.0
Teleop50.5
End22.3
red by 0.2
156
#7
84.60.2
81.181.3
Auto4.5
Teleop34.0
End46.0
Third
6706
#28
67.20.5
64.765.2
Auto7.9
Teleop29.6
End29.7
blue by 6.5
2656
#16
73.70.2
69.970.1
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End32.3