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Red268
29163.5
402782.1
21794.2
Blue307
349281.6
402879.2
499192.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249258100150200300350400268307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
94.20.8
93.594.3
Auto8.0
Teleop47.8
End38.3
red by 1.7
4991
#14
92.51.6
89.390.9
Auto8.2
Teleop37.3
End47.0
Second
82.10.8
81.482.2
Auto12.2
Teleop42.3
End27.6
red by 0.4
3492
#10
81.61.6
78.580.0
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End34.5
Third
291
#34
63.50.8
62.763.5
Auto9.9
Teleop37.3
End16.3
blue by 15.7
79.21.7
75.777.4
Auto12.5
Teleop42.5
End24.1