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Red190
2607102.9
1676112.8
44983.5
Blue168
27295.9
365108.2
31698.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318315200250300350400190168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
Unranked
112.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop51.8
End46.4
red by 4.7
365
Unranked
108.20.0
108.2108.2
Auto19.0
Teleop50.6
End38.6
Second
2607
Unranked
102.90.0
102.9102.9
Auto10.5
Teleop55.1
End37.3
red by 4.1
316
Unranked
98.90.0
98.998.9
Auto9.0
Teleop46.4
End43.5
Third
449
Unranked
83.50.0
83.583.5
Auto6.8
Teleop36.3
End40.3
blue by 12.4
272
Unranked
95.90.0
95.995.9
Auto13.8
Teleop45.6
End36.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
88%Rotor odds56%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds