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Red231
32163.1
19394.7
2590107.9
Blue255
3929100.6
542159.0
1198.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281269100150200250350400450231255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
Unranked
107.90.0
107.9107.9
Auto13.8
Teleop54.8
End39.3
red by 7.3
3929
Unranked
100.60.0
100.6100.6
Auto9.9
Teleop53.7
End37.0
Second
193
Unranked
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto8.3
Teleop52.7
End33.7
blue by 3.3
11
Unranked
98.00.0
98.098.0
Auto7.8
Teleop53.0
End37.3
Third
321
Unranked
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto9.8
Teleop33.3
End19.9
red by 4.1
5421
Unranked
59.00.0
59.059.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.9
End25.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
32%Rotor odds43%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds