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Red145
392969.2
518164.1
180770.2
Blue256
10376.8
260780.9
428560.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220219160180200240260145256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#21
70.21.7
71.970.2
Auto5.8
Teleop30.6
End33.8
blue by 10.7
80.91.3
77.678.9
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End37.2
Second
3929
#23
69.21.7
71.069.2
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End26.8
blue by 7.5
103
#7
76.81.3
73.474.7
Auto11.6
Teleop42.4
End22.8
Third
5181
#14
64.11.7
65.864.1
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End26.8
red by 4.0
4285
#18
60.21.3
56.858.1
Auto6.9
Teleop30.1
End23.2