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Red265
428560.2
260780.9
10376.8
Blue165
568474.4
70975.1
164765.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1942370100300400500265165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.92.0
71.673.6
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End37.2
red by 5.8
709
#8
75.11.5
76.675.1
Auto11.6
Teleop32.3
End31.1
Second
103
#7
76.82.0
67.469.5
Auto11.6
Teleop42.4
End22.8
red by 2.4
74.41.5
75.974.4
Auto11.6
Teleop43.0
End19.8
Third
4285
#18
60.22.0
50.852.9
Auto6.9
Teleop30.1
End23.2
blue by 5.0
1647
#16
65.21.5
66.665.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End35.3