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Red224
445454.0
34172.9
589590.8
Blue270
259076.8
397483.3
253963.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226219100150200250300350224270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.80.3
89.489.7
Auto10.2
Teleop39.5
End41.2
red by 7.5
83.31.5
78.480.0
Auto9.8
Teleop39.8
End33.7
Second
341
#2
72.90.3
71.571.8
Auto6.5
Teleop31.0
End35.5
blue by 3.9
2590
#13
76.81.5
72.073.5
Auto8.7
Teleop35.4
End32.7
Third
4454
#24
54.00.3
52.652.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End14.9
blue by 9.5
2539
#17
63.51.5
58.660.2
Auto7.2
Teleop29.9
End26.4