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Red305
540765.4
27274.8
475090.2
Blue270
48691.8
198979.2
315154.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24423504006008001,0001,2001,400305270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4750
#12
90.21.7
90.191.8
Auto7.2
Teleop38.3
End44.7
blue by 1.6
486
#9
91.80.9
91.392.3
Auto13.4
Teleop46.6
End31.8
Second
272
#5
74.81.7
74.776.4
Auto6.7
Teleop32.1
End36.0
blue by 4.4
79.20.9
78.879.7
Auto10.4
Teleop33.5
End35.3
Third
5407
#28
65.41.7
65.367.0
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End14.0
red by 11.2
3151
#20
54.20.9
53.854.7
Auto7.8
Teleop30.7
End15.8