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Red206
149565.6
3929105.2
83491.9
Blue317
139178.3
81668.7
164076.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279218100400500206317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.21.1
103.1102.0
Auto12.4
Teleop49.6
End43.2
red by 26.9
1391
#23
78.32.0
75.577.5
Auto10.1
Teleop33.2
End35.1
Second
834
#6
91.91.1
89.888.7
Auto12.2
Teleop40.5
End39.2
red by 15.3
1640
#18
76.62.0
73.875.8
Auto4.8
Teleop39.4
End32.4
Third
1495
#21
65.61.1
63.562.4
Auto4.4
Teleop22.5
End38.7
blue by 3.1
816
#8
68.72.0
65.967.9
Auto8.9
Teleop26.7
End33.1