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Red255
540765.4
27274.8
475090.2
Blue205
48691.8
198979.2
315154.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2502370100200300400500600700800255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4750
#12
90.20.4
91.892.2
Auto7.2
Teleop38.3
End44.7
blue by 1.6
486
#9
91.80.5
92.391.8
Auto13.4
Teleop46.6
End31.8
Second
272
#5
74.80.4
76.476.8
Auto6.7
Teleop32.1
End36.0
blue by 4.4
79.20.5
79.779.2
Auto10.4
Teleop33.5
End35.3
Third
5407
#28
65.40.4
67.067.4
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End14.0
red by 11.2
3151
#20
54.20.5
54.754.2
Auto7.8
Teleop30.7
End15.8