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Red215
593866.8
463781.9
31681.0
Blue241
139178.3
81668.7
164076.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442170100300400500600700215241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.90.3
81.381.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.6
End44.0
red by 3.6
1391
#23
78.30.6
73.674.2
Auto10.1
Teleop33.2
End35.1
Second
316
#10
81.00.3
80.480.1
Auto9.9
Teleop31.9
End39.2
red by 4.4
1640
#18
76.60.6
71.972.5
Auto4.8
Teleop39.4
End32.4
Third
5938
#24
66.80.3
66.265.9
Auto6.5
Teleop29.2
End31.1
blue by 1.9
816
#8
68.70.6
63.964.5
Auto8.9
Teleop26.7
End33.1