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Red265
593866.8
463781.9
31681.0
Blue266
139178.3
81668.7
164076.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432190100300400500600700265266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.90.8
81.081.9
Auto11.2
Teleop26.6
End44.0
red by 3.6
1391
#23
78.31.2
74.275.4
Auto10.1
Teleop33.2
End35.1
Second
316
#10
81.00.8
80.181.0
Auto9.9
Teleop31.9
End39.2
red by 4.4
1640
#18
76.61.2
72.573.7
Auto4.8
Teleop39.4
End32.4
Third
5938
#24
66.80.8
65.966.8
Auto6.5
Teleop29.2
End31.1
blue by 1.9
816
#8
68.71.2
64.565.7
Auto8.9
Teleop26.7
End33.1