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Red169
365112.3
81668.7
20432.8
Blue145
137061.2
179133.4
43384.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2321530100200300400169145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
112.34.5
103.899.3
Auto18.3
Teleop50.4
End43.6
red by 27.7
433
#15
84.61.3
69.067.7
Auto8.7
Teleop36.0
End39.9
Second
816
#8
68.74.5
64.660.1
Auto8.9
Teleop26.7
End33.1
red by 7.5
1370
#16
61.21.3
50.248.9
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End34.4
Third
204
#30
32.84.5
41.436.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.6
End4.0
blue by 0.5
1791
#22
33.40.8
37.436.7
Auto6.6
Teleop24.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed