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Red80
666743.3
139178.3
316755.0
Blue255
83491.9
463781.9
32157.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154194010030040050080255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#23
78.310.8
61.150.4
Auto10.1
Teleop33.2
End35.1
blue by 13.5
834
#6
91.98.4
70.679.0
Auto12.2
Teleop40.5
End39.2
Second
3167
#14
55.010.8
47.136.3
Auto9.7
Teleop26.1
End19.2
blue by 26.9
81.98.4
55.163.6
Auto11.2
Teleop26.6
End44.0
Third
6667
#17
43.36.5
43.737.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End13.8
blue by 13.9
321
#26
57.18.4
53.361.7
Auto6.6
Teleop29.0
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed