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Red255
635075.4
597579.7
5588103.5
Blue349
597096.2
4488116.8
582793.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653230100200400500600255349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5588
#25
103.50.3
103.8103.5
Auto11.8
Teleop42.9
End48.7
blue by 13.3
116.83.3
116.9120.1
Auto17.3
Teleop50.0
End49.5
Second
5975
#61
79.70.3
80.079.7
Auto9.5
Teleop44.2
End26.0
blue by 16.5
5970
#23
96.23.3
92.996.2
Auto10.9
Teleop48.4
End36.9
Third
6350
#63
75.40.3
75.775.4
Auto9.1
Teleop29.5
End36.7
blue by 17.7
5827
#40
93.13.3
89.893.1
Auto9.2
Teleop41.9
End42.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed