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Red284
131885.4
3238128.7
3663130.6
Blue341
4061110.6
2907110.3
488100.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452329100200400500600700800284341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.62.0
131.6129.6
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
red by 20.1
4061
#50
110.60.3
112.3112.6
Auto13.1
Teleop42.8
End54.8
Second
128.72.0
129.6127.7
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
red by 18.4
2907
#11
110.30.3
112.0112.3
Auto12.9
Teleop42.7
End54.7
Third
1318
#60
85.42.0
86.384.4
Auto11.6
Teleop42.9
End30.9
blue by 15.5
488
#13
100.90.3
102.6103.0
Auto15.5
Teleop44.6
End40.9