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Red445
131885.4
3238128.7
3663130.6
Blue307
492106.1
997107.6
4469106.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437399100200300500600700445307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.60.0
130.4130.4
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End66.1
red by 23.1
997
#6
107.60.5
110.1109.6
Auto10.5
Teleop51.9
End45.1
Second
128.70.0
128.5128.5
Auto13.0
Teleop64.6
End51.1
red by 21.8
4469
#17
106.90.5
109.4108.9
Auto11.8
Teleop46.6
End48.5
Third
1318
#60
85.40.0
85.285.2
Auto11.6
Teleop42.9
End30.9
blue by 20.7
492
#20
106.10.5
108.6108.1
Auto13.6
Teleop53.3
End39.1